Not many Americans have heard of Richard Vedder and Lowell Gallaway, but maybe more
should. They are the authors of Out of
Work [or buy from Amazon.com] the best economic history of 20th Century America and an
indictment of all the monstrous and stupid things our government has done to us.
In addition to holding legitimate jobs as professors of economics at Ohio University,
Vedder and Galloway work among the enemy as staff members to the Joint Economic
Committee of Congress. Their publications at the JEC demonstrate the common sense
of economics and the sensibility that only a familiarity with Austrian economics can
bring to the study of economic history and public policy.
Unfortunately for all, their work seems to be ignored by both species of Congress.
Here is a sampling of their findings, estimates, and conclusions:
- A dollar in taxes really costs Americans at least $1.40 and as much as $3. Tax
relief or simply restraining government revenues would therefore help to lift the
"deadweight" of government off our backs. See Tax Reduction and
Economic Welfare.
- Tax increases (often justified as part of deficit reduction) actually cause government
to grow. They found that every new dollar in taxes was spent on new programs and that
new spending actually increased by $1.59 per dollar of new taxes and that deficits got
worse as a result. See Taxes and
Deficits: New Evidence and Bud
get Surpluses, Deficits, and Government Spending.
- Increases in government spending reduce national output and that simply reducing
federal spending as a % of GDP by a couple of percentage points would dramatically
increase the size of the economy by hundreds of billions of dollars. Read The Impact of
the Welfare State on Small Business and the American Entrepreneur.
- In several studies on welfare spending, Vedder and Galloway find that welfare is
harmful to economic growth, entrepreneurs, workers, and children. Very harmful. A
mere $100 billion decrease in government spending would move 3 million children
above the poverty line by creating more jobs, higher wages, and economic growth.
That’s just $33,000 to get a kid out of poverty. See The Impact of
the Welfare State on America’s Children, The Impact
of the Welfare State on the American Economy, and The Impact of
the Welfare State on the American Family.
- Budget surpluses early in the Republic were returned to the citizens in the form of
tax cuts, now every dollar in surplus is quickly turned into a permanent increase in the
size of the federal government. A tax cut equal to the size of this year’s "budget
surplus" would not only get our money back, it would create a permanent increase in
the size of the productive economy of almost $40 billion a year. See Tax Reduction and
Economic Welfare.
- In their statistical analysis of American history, they found that the optimal level of
federal spending is not at the current level of around 20% of GDP but at around 11% of
GDP. However, I would like to point out that they include government spending in GDP
and if removed the statistically optimal size of government might fall 1000%. After all,
federal spending was far less than five percent of national output over most of
American history—the most productive part of American history! See Government
Size and Economic Growth.
It's too bad that Congress won’t listen to its own economists. Vedder and Galloway
aren’t calling for the immediate overthrow of all government; they are arguing that just
small reforms like small tax cuts and marginal spending cuts could make a real
difference in the economic lives of Americans. The fact that Congress hasn’t acted on
economic reform is a sure sign of where their priorities lie.
While somewhat heavy on statistical analysis, all of these reports are available at the
Joint Economic Committee website. It might be worth downloading copies the next time
you feel like sending an ideological letter bomb to your Congressmen or newspaper
editor.
* * * * *
Mark Thornton is O.P. Alford III resident
scholar at the Ludwig von Mises Institute.
Read an interview with Richard Vedder in the
Austrian Economics Newsletter.