Chapter 4—Prices and Consumption

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4
PRICES AND
CONSUMPTION
1.
Money Prices
We
have seen the enormous importance of the money prices of goods in an
economy of indirect exchange. The money income of the producer or
laborer and the psychic income of the consumer depend on the
configuration of these prices. How are they determined? In
this investigation, we may draw extensively from almost all of the
discussion in chapter 2. There we saw how the prices of one good in
terms of others are determined under conditions of direct exchange. The
reason for devoting so much consideration to a state of affairs that
can have only a very limited existence was that a similar analysis can
be applied to conditions of indirect exchange.
In a society of barter, the markets that
established prices (assuming that the system could operate)
were innumerable markets of one good for every other good. With the
establishment of a money economy, the number of
markets needed is immeasurably reduced. A large variety of goods
exchange against the money commodity, and the money commodity exchanges
for a large variety of goods. Every single market, then (with the
exception of isolated instances of barter) includes the money commodity
as one of the two elements.
Aside from loans and claims (which will be considered below), the
following types of exchange are made against money:

For
durable goods, each unit may be sold in toto, or it
may be hired out for its services over a certain period of time.
Now we remember from chapter 2 that the price of one good in terms of
another is the amount of the other good divided by the amount of the
first good in the exchange. If, in a certain exchange, 150 barrels of
fish exchanged for three horses, then the price of horses in terms of
fish, the “fish-price of horses,” was 50 barrels of
fish per horse in that exchange. Now suppose that, in a money economy,
three horses exchange for 15 ounces of gold (money). The money
price of horses in this exchange is five ounces per
horse. The money price of a good in an exchange, therefore,
is the quantity of units of gold, divided by the quantity of units of
the good, yielding a numerical ratio.
To illustrate how money prices may be computed for any exchange,
suppose that the following exchanges are made:
15
ounces of gold for 3 horses
5 ounces of gold for 100 barrels of fish
1/8 ounce of gold for 2 dozen eggs
24 ounces of gold for 3 hours of X’s labor
The
money prices of these various exchanges were:

The last ratios on each line are the money prices of the units of each
good for each exchange.
It is evident that, with money being used for all exchanges, money
prices serve as a common denominator of all
exchange ratios. Thus, with the above money prices, anyone can
calculate that if one horse exchanges for five ounces and one barrel of
fish exchanges for 1/20 ounces, then
one horse can, indirectly, exchange for 100 barrels of fish, or for 80
dozen eggs, or 5/3 of an hour of X’s
labor, etc. Instead of a myriad of isolated markets for each good and
every other good, each good exchanges for money, and the exchange
ratios between every good and every other good can easily be estimated
by observing their money prices. Here it must be emphasized that these
exchange ratios are only hypothetical, and can be computed at all only
because of the exchanges against money. It is only through the use of
money that we can hypothetically estimate these
“barter ratios,” and it is only by
intermediate exchanges against money that one good can finally
be exchanged for the other at the hypothetical ratio.
Many writers have erred in
believing that money can somehow be abstracted from the formation of
money prices and that analysis can accurately describe affairs
“as if” exchanges really took place by way of
barter. With money and money prices pervading all exchanges,
there can be no abstraction from money in analyzing the formation of
prices in an economy of indirect exchange.
Just as in the case of direct exchange, there will always be a tendency
on the market for one money price to be established for each
good. We have seen that the basic rule is that each seller
tries to sell his good for the highest attainable money price, and each
buyer tries to buy the good for the lowest attainable money price. The
actions of the buyers and sellers will always and rapidly tend to
establish one price on the market at any given time. If the
“ruling” market price for 100 barrels of fish, for
example, is five ounces—i.e., if sellers and buyers believe
that they can sell and buy the fish they desire for five ounces per 100
barrels—then no buyer will pay six ounces, and no seller will
accept four ounces for the fish. Such action will obtain for all goods
on the market, establishing the rule that, for the entire market
society, every homogeneous good will tend to be bought and sold at one
particular money price at any given time.
What, then, are the forces that determine at what point this uniform
money price for each good tends to be set? We shall soon see that, as
demonstrated in chapter 2, the determinants are the individual value
scales, expressed through demand and supply schedules.
We must remember that, in the course of determining the
“fish-price of horses” in the direct
exchange of fish as against horses, at the same time there was also
determined the “horse-price of fish.” In the
exchanges of a money economy, what is the
“goods-price of money” and how is it
determined?
Let us consider the foregoing list of typical exchanges against money.
These exchanges established the money prices of four different goods on
the market. Now let us reverse the process and divide the quantities of
goods by the quantity of money in the exchange. This gives us:

This
sort of list, or “array,” goes on and on for each
of the myriad exchanges of goods against money. The inverse
of the money price of any good gives us the
“goods-price” of money in terms of that particular
good. Money, in a sense, is the only good that remains, as
far as its prices are concerned, in the same state that every good was
in a regime of barter. In barter, every good had only its ruling market
price in terms of every other good: fish-price of
eggs, horse-price of movies, etc. In a money economy, every good except
money now has one market price in terms of money.
Money, on the other hand, still has an almost infinite array
of “goods-prices” that establish the
“goods-price of money.” The entire array,
considered together, yields us the general “goods-price of
money.” For if we consider the whole array of goods-prices,
we know what one ounce of money will buy in terms of any desired
combination of goods, i.e., we know what that
“ounce’s worth” of money (which figures
so largely in consumers’ decisions) will be.
Alternatively, we may say that the money price of any good discloses
what its “purchasing power” on the market will be.
Suppose a man possesses 200 barrels of fish. He estimates that the
ruling market price for fish is six ounces per 100 barrels, and that
therefore he can sell the 200 barrels for 12 ounces. The
“purchasing power” of 100 barrels on the market is
six ounces of money. Similarly, the purchasing power of a horse may be
five ounces, etc. The purchasing power of a stock of any good
is equal to the amount of money it can “buy” on the
market and is therefore directly determined by the
money price that it can obtain. As a matter of fact, the
purchasing power of a unit of any quantity of a good is equal
to its money price. If the market money price of a dozen eggs
(the unit) is 1/8 ounce of gold, then the
purchasing power of the dozen eggs is also 1/8
of an ounce. Similarly, the purchasing power of a horse, above, was
five ounces; of an hour of X’s labor,
three ounces; etc.
For every good except money, then, the purchasing power of its unit is
identical to the money price that it can obtain on the market. What
is the purchasing power of the monetary unit? Obviously, the
purchasing power of, e.g., an ounce of gold can be considered only in
relation to all the goods that the ounce could
purchase or help to purchase. The purchasing power of the
monetary unit consists of an array of all the particular goods-prices
in the society in terms of the unit.
It consists of a huge array of the type above: 1/5
horse per ounce; 20 barrels of fish per ounce; 16 dozen eggs per ounce;
etc.
It is evident that the money commodity and the determinants of its
purchasing power introduce a complication in the demand and supply
schedules of chapter 2 that must be worked out; there cannot be a mere
duplication of the demand and supply schedules of barter conditions,
since the demand and supply situation for money is a unique one. Before
investigating the “price” of money and its
determinants, we must first take a long detour and investigate
the determination of the money prices of all the other goods in the
economy.
2.
Determination of Money Prices
Let us first take a typical good and analyze the determinants of its
money price on the market. (Here the reader is referred back to the
more detailed analysis of price in chapter 2.) Let us take a
homogeneous good, Grade A butter, in exchange against money.
The money price is determined by actions decided according to
individual value scales. For example, a typical buyer’s value
scale may be ranked as follows:

The
quantities in parentheses are those which the person does not possess
but is considering adding to his ownership; the others are those which
he has in his possession. In this case, the buyer’s maximum
buying money price for his first pound of butter is six
grains of gold. At any market price of six grains or under, he will
exchange these grains for the butter; at a market price of seven grains
or over, he will not make the purchase. His maximum buying price for a
second pound of butter will be considerably lower. This result is
always true, and stems from the law of utility; as he adds pounds of
butter to his ownership, the marginal utility of each pound declines.
On the other hand, as he dispenses with grains of gold, the marginal
utility to him of each remaining grain increases. Both these forces
impel the maximum buying price of an additional unit to decline with an
increase in the quantity purchased.
From this value scale, we
can compile this buyer’s demand schedule,
the amount of each good that he will consume at each hypothetical money
price on the market. We may also draw his demand curve, if we wish to
see the schedule in graphic form. The individual demand schedule of the
buyer considered above is as shown in Table 6.

We
note that, because of the law of utility, an individual demand curve
must be either “vertical” as the hypothetical price
declines, or else rightward-sloping (i.e., the quantity demanded, as
the money price falls, must be either the same or greater), not
leftward-sloping (not a lower quantity demanded).
If this is the necessary configuration of every buyer’s
demand schedule, it is clear that the existence of more than one buyer
will tend greatly to reinforce this behavior. There
are two and only two possible classifications of different
people’s value scales: either they are all identical, or else
they differ. In the extremely unlikely case that everyone’s
relevant value scales are identical with everyone else’s
(extremely unlikely because of the immense variety of valuations by
human beings), then, for example, buyers B, C, D, etc. will have the
same value scale and therefore the same individual demand schedules as
buyer A who has just been described. In that case, the shape of the
aggregate market-demand curve (the sum of the demand curves of the
individual buyers) will be identical with the curve of buyer A,
although the aggregate quantities will, of course, be much
greater. To be sure, the value scales of the buyers will almost always
differ, which means that their maximum buying prices for any given
pound of butter will differ. The result is that, as the market price is
lowered, more and more buyers of different units are brought into the
market. This effect greatly reinforces the rightward-sloping feature of
the market-demand curve.
As an example of the formation of a market-demand schedule from
individual value scales, let us take the buyer described above as buyer
A and assume two other buyers on the market, B and C, with the
following value scales:

From
these value scales, we can construct their individual demand schedules
(Table 7). We notice that, in each of the varied patterns of individual
demand schedules, none can ever be leftward-sloping as the
hypothetical price declines.

Now we may summate the individual demand schedules, A, B, and C, into
the market-demand schedule. The market-demand
schedule yields the total quantity of the good that will be bought by
all the buyers on the market at any given money price for the good. The
market-demand schedule for buyers A, B, and C is as shown in Table 8.

Figure 33 is a graphical representation of these schedules and of their
addition to form the market-demand schedule.

The principles of the formation of the market-supply schedule are
similar, although the causal forces behind the value scales will differ.
Each supplier ranks each
unit to be sold and the amount of money to be obtained in exchange on
his value scale. Thus, one seller’s value scale might be as
follows:

If
the market price were two grains of gold, this seller would sell no
butter, since even the first pound in his stock ranks above the
acquisition of two grains on his value scale. At a price of three
grains, he would sell two pounds, each of which ranks below three
grains on his value scale. At a price of four grains, he would sell
three pounds, etc. It is evident that, as the hypothetical price is
lowered, the individual supply curve must be either vertical or
leftward-sloping, i.e., a lower price must lead either to a
lesser or to the same supply, never to more. This is, of course,
equivalent to the statement that as the hypothetical price increases,
the supply curve is either vertical or rightward-sloping. Again, the
reason is the law of utility; as the seller disposes of his stock, its
marginal utility to him tends to rise, while the marginal utility of
the money acquired tends to fall. Of course, if the marginal utility of
the stock to the supplier is nil, and if the marginal utility of money
to him falls only slowly as he acquires it, the law may not change his
quantity supplied during the range of action on the market, so that the
supply curve may be vertical throughout almost all of its range. Thus,
a supplier Y might have the following
value scale:

This
seller will be willing to sell, above the minimum price of one grain,
every unit in his stock. His supply curve will be shaped as in Figure
34.

In seller X’s case, his minimum
selling price was three grains for the first and second pounds of
butter, four grains for the third pound, five grains for the fourth and
fifth pounds, and six grains for the sixth pound. Seller Y’s
minimum selling price for the first pound and for every
subsequent pound was one grain. In no case, however, can the
supply curve be rightward-sloping as the price declines; i.e., in no
case can a lower price lead to more units supplied.
Let
us assume, for purposes of exposition, that the suppliers of butter on
the market consist of just these two, X and Y,
with the foregoing value scales. Then their individual and aggregate
market-supply schedules will be as shown in Table 9.

This
market-supply curve is diagramed above in Figure 33.
We notice that the intersection of the
market-supply and market-demand curves, i.e., the price at
which the quantity supplied and the quantity demanded are equal, here
is located at a point in between
two prices. This is necessarily due to the lack of divisibility
of the units; if a unit grain, for example, is indivisible, there is no
way of introducing an intermediate price, and the market-equilibrium
price will be at either 2 or 3 grains.
This will be the best approximation that can be made to a price at
which the market will be precisely cleared, i.e.,
one at which the would-be suppliers and the demanders at that price are
satisfied. Let us, however, assume that the monetary unit can be
further divided, and therefore that the equilibrium price is, say, two
and a half grains. Not only will this simplify the exposition of price
formation; it is also a realistic assumption, since one of the
important characteristics of the money commodity is precisely its divisibility
into minute units, which can be exchanged on the market. It is this
divisibility of the monetary unit that permits us to draw continuous
lines between the points on the supply and demand schedules.
The money price on the market will tend to be set at the equilibrium
price—in this case, at two and a half grains. At a higher
price, the quantity offered in supply will be greater than the quantity
demanded; as a result, part of the supply could not be sold, and the
sellers will underbid the price in order to sell their stock. Since
only one price can persist on the market, and the buyers always seek
their best advantage, the result will be a general lowering of the
price toward the equilibrium point. On the other hand, if the price is
below two and a half grains, there are would-be buyers at this price
whose demands remain unsatisfied. These demanders bid up the price, and
with sellers looking for the highest attainable price, the market price
is raised toward the equilibrium point. Thus, the fact that men seek
their greatest utility sets forces into motion that establish the money
price at a certain equilibrium point, at which further exchanges tend
to be made. The money price will remain at the equilibrium point for
further exchanges of the good, until demand or
supply schedules change. Changes in demand or supply
conditions establish a new equilibrium price, toward which the market
price again tends to move.
What the equilibrium price will be depends upon the
configuration of the supply and demand schedules, and the
causes of these schedules will be subjected to further examination
below.
The stock of any good is the total quantity of that good in existence.
Some will be supplied in exchange, and the remainder will be reserved.
At any hypothetical price, it will be recalled, adding the demand to
buy and the reserved demand of the
supplier gives the total demand to hold on
the part of both groups.
The total demand to hold
includes the demand in exchange by present nonowners and the
reservation demand to hold by the present owners. Since the supply
curve is either vertical or increasing with a rise in price,
the sellers’ reservation demand will fall with a rise in
price or will be nonexistent. In either case, the total demand to hold
rises as the price falls.
Where there is a rise in reservation demand, the increase in the total
demand to hold is greater—the curve far more
elastic—than the regular demand curve, because of the
addition of the reservation-demand component.
Thus, the higher the
market price of a stock, the less the willingness on the market to hold
and own it and the greater the eagerness to sell it. Conversely, the
lower the price of a good on the market, the greater the willingness to
own it and the less the willingness to sell it.
It is characteristic of the total demand curve that it always
intersects the physical stock available at the same equilibrium price
as the one at which the demand and supply schedules intersect.
The Total Demand and Stock lines will therefore yield the same market
equilibrium price as the other, although the quantity exchanged is not
revealed by these curves. They do disclose, however, that, since all
units of an existing stock must be possessed by someone, the market
price of any good tends to be such that the aggregate demand to keep
the stock will equal the stock itself. Then the stock will be in the
hands of the most eager, or most capable, possessors. These are the
ones who are willing to demand the most for the stock. That owner who
would just sell his stock if the price rose slightly is the marginal
possessor: that nonowner who would buy if the price fell
slightly is the marginal nonpossessor.
Figure 35 is a diagram of the supply, demand, total demand, and stock
curves of a good.

The total demand curve is composed of demand plus reserved supply; both
slope rightward as prices fall. The equilibrium price is the same both
for the intersection of the S and D
curves, and for TD and Stock.
If there is no reservation demand, then the supply curve will be
vertical, and equal to the stock. In that case, the diagram becomes as
in Figure 36.

3.
Determination of Supply and Demand Schedules
Every money price of a good on the market, therefore, is
determined by the supply and demand schedules of the
individual buyers and sellers, and their action tends to establish a
uniform equilibrium price on the market at the point of intersection,
which changes only when the schedules do.
Now the question arises:
What are the determinants of the demand and supply schedules
themselves? Can any conclusions be formed about the value scales and
the resulting schedules?
In the first place, the analysis of speculation in chapter 2 can be
applied directly to the case of the money price. There is no need to
repeat that analysis here.
Suffice it to say, in
summary, that, in so far as the equilibrium price is anticipated
correctly by speculators, the demand and supply schedules will reflect
the fact: above the equilibrium price, demanders will buy less than
they otherwise would because of their anticipation of a later drop in
the money price; below that price, they will buy more because of an
anticipation of a rise in the money price. Similarly, sellers will sell
more at a price that they anticipate will soon be lowered; they will
sell less at a price that they anticipate will soon be raised. The
general effect of speculation is to make both the supply and demand
curves more elastic, viz., to shift them from DD to
D´D´ and
from SS to S´S´ in
Figure 37. The more people engage in such (correct) speculation, the
more elastic will be the curves, and, by implication, the more rapidly
will the equilibrium price be reached.

We also saw that preponderant errors in speculation tend
inexorably to be self-correcting. If the speculative demand
and supply schedules (D´D´–
S´S´)
preponderantly do not estimate the correct equilibrium price and
consequently intersect at another price, then it soon becomes evident
that that price does not really clear the market. Unless the
equilibrium point set by the speculative schedules is identical to the
point set by the schedules minus the speculative elements, the
market again tends to bring the price (and quantity sold) to the true
equilibrium point. For if the speculative schedules set the price of
eggs at two grains, and the schedules without speculation would set it
at three grains, there is an excess of quantity demanded over quantity
supplied at two grains, and the bidding of buyers finally brings the
price to three grains.
Setting speculation aside, then, let us return to the buyer’s
demand schedules. Suppose that he ranks the unit of a good above a
certain number of ounces of gold on his value scale. What can be the
possible sources of his demand for the
good? In other words, what can be the sources of the utility
of the good to him? There are only three sources of utility that any
purchase good can have for any person.
One of these is (a)
the anticipated later sale of the same good for a
higher money price. This is the speculative demand, basically
ephemeral—a useful path to uncovering the more fundamental
demand factors. This demand has just been analyzed. The second source
of demand is (b) direct use as a
consumers’ good; the third source is (c)
direct use as a producers’ good. Source (b)
can apply only to consumers’ goods; (c) to
producers’ goods. The former are directly consumed; the
latter are used in the production process and, along with other
co-operating factors, are transformed into lower-order capital goods,
which are then sold for money. Thus, the third source applies solely to
the investing producers in their purchases of producers’
goods; the second source stems from consumers. If we set aside the
temporary speculative source, (b) is the source of
the individual demand schedules for all consumers’
goods, (c) the source of demands for all
producers’ goods.
What of the seller of the consumers’ good
or producers’ good—why is he demanding money in
exchange? The seller demands money because of the marginal utility of
money to him, and for this reason he ranks the money acquired above
possession of the goods that he sells. The components and determinants
of the utility of money will be analyzed in a later section.
Thus, the buyer of a good demands it because of its direct use-value
either in consumption or in production; the seller demands money
because of its marginal utility in exchange. This, however, does not
exhaust the description of the components of the market supply and
demand curves, for we have still not explained the rankings of the good
on the seller’s value scale and the rankings of
money on the buyer’s. When a seller keeps his stock
instead of selling it, what is the source of his reservation
demand for the good? We have seen that the quantity of a good
reserved at any point is the quantity of stock that the seller refuses
to sell at the given price. The sources of a reservation demand by the
seller are two: (a) anticipation of later sale at a
higher price; this is the speculative factor analyzed above; and (b)
direct use of the good by the seller. This second factor is not often
applicable to producers’ goods, since the seller
produced the producers’ good for sale and is usually not
immediately prepared to use it directly in further production. In some
cases, however, this alternative of direct use for further
production does exist. For example, a producer of crude oil
may sell it or, if the money price falls below a certain minimum, may
use it in his own plant to produce gasoline. In the case of
consumers’ goods, which we are treating here, direct use may
also be feasible, particularly in the case of a sale of an old
consumers’ good previously used directly by the
seller—such as an old house, painting, etc. However, with the
great development of specialization in the money economy, these cases
become infrequent.
If we set aside (a) as being a temporary factor and
realize that (b) is frequently not present in the
case of either consumers’ or producers’ goods, it
becomes evident that many market-supply curves will tend to assume an
almost vertical shape. In such a case, after the
investment in production has been made and the stock of goods is on
hand, the producer is often willing to sell it at any money price that
he can obtain, regardless of how low the market price may be. This, of
course, is by no means the same as saying that investment in
further production will be made if the seller anticipates
a very low money price from the sale of the product. In the latter
case, the problem is to determine how much to invest at
present in the production of a good to be produced
and sold at a point in the future. In the case of
the market-supply curve, which helps set the day-to-day equilibrium
price, we are dealing with already given stock and with the reservation
demand for this stock. In the case of production, on the other hand, we
are dealing with investment decisions concerning how much stock to
produce for some later period. What we have been discussing has been
the market-supply curve. Here the seller’s problem is what
to do with given stock, with already produced goods. The
problem of production will be treated in chapter 5 and subsequent
chapters.
Another condition that might obtain on the market is a
previous buyer’s re-entering the market and
reselling a good. For him to be able to do so, it is obvious that the
good must be durable. (A violin-playing service,
for example, is so nondurable that it is not resalable by the
purchasing listeners.) The total stock of the good in existence will
then equal the producers’ new supply plus
the producers’ reserved demand plus the
supply offered by old possessors plus the
reserved demand of the old possessors (i.e., the amount the
old buyers retain). The market-supply curve of the old
possessors will increase or be vertical as the price rises; and the
reserved-demand curve of the old possessors will increase or be
constant as the price falls. In other words, their schedules behave
similarly to their counterpart schedules among the producers. The
aggregate market-supply curve will be formed simply by adding the
producers’ and old possessors’ supply
curves. The total-demand-to-hold schedule will equal the
demand by buyers plus the reservation demand (if any) of the
producers and of the old possessors.
If the good is Chippendale chairs, which cannot be further
produced, then the market-supply curves are identical
with the supply curves of the old possessors. There is no new
production, and there are no additions to stock.
It is clear that the greater the proportion of old stock to new
production, other things being equal, the greater will tend to be the
importance of the supply of old possessors compared to that of new
producers. The tendency will be for old stock to be more important the
greater the durability of the good.
There is one type of consumers’ good the supply curve of
which will have to be treated in a later section on labor and earnings.
This is personal service, such as the services of a
doctor, a lawyer, a concert violinist, a servant, etc. These
services, as we have indicated above, are, of course, nondurable. In
fact, they are consumed by the seller immediately upon their
production. Not being material objects like
“commodities,” they are the direct
emanation of the effort of the supplier himself, who produces
them instantaneously upon his decision. The supply curve depends on the
decision of whether or not to
produce—supply—personal effort, not on the sale of
already produced stock. There is no “stock” in this
sphere, since the goods disappear into consumption immediately
on being produced. It is evident that the concept of
“stock” is applicable only to tangible objects. The
price of personal services, however, is determined by the
intersection of supply and demand forces, as in the case of
tangible goods.
For all goods, the establishment of the equilibrium price tends to
establish a state of rest, a cessation of
exchanges. After the price is established, sales will take place until
the stock is in the hands of the most capable possessors, in accordance
with the value scales. Where new production is continuing, the market
will tend to be continuing, however, because of the
inflow of new stock from producers coming into the market. This inflow
alters the state of rest and sets the stage for new exchanges, with
producers eager to sell their stock, and consumers to buy. When total
stock is fixed and there is no new production, on the other hand, the
state of rest is likely to become important. Any changes in price or
new exchanges will occur as a result of changes of valuations, i.e., a
change in the relative position of money and the good on the value
scales of at least two individuals on the market, which will lead them
to make further exchanges of the good against money. Of course, where
valuations are changing, as they almost always are in a changing world,
markets for old stock will again be continuing.
An example of that rare type of good for which the market may be
intermittent instead of continuous is Chippendale chairs, where the
stock is very limited and the money price relatively high. The stock is
always distributed into the hands of the most eager possessors, and the
trading may be infrequent. Whenever one of the collectors comes to
value his Chippendale below a certain sum of money, and another
collector values that sum in his possession below the acquisition of
the furniture, an exchange is likely to occur. Most goods, however,
even nonreproducible ones, have a lively, continuing market, because of
continual changes in valuations and a large number of participants in
the market.
In sum, buyers decide to buy consumers’ goods at various
ranges of price (setting aside previously analyzed speculative factors)
because of their demand for the good for direct use.
They decide to abstain from buying because of their
reservation demand for money,
which they prefer to retain rather than spend on that particular good.
Sellers supply the goods, in all cases, because of their demand
for money, and those cases where they reserve a stock for
themselves are due (aside from speculation on price increases)
to their demand for the good for direct use. Thus, the general factors
that determine the supply and demand schedules of any and all
consumers’ goods, by all persons on the market,
are the balancing on their value scales of their demand for the good
for direct use and their demand for money, either for
reservation or for exchange. Although we shall further discuss
investment-production decisions below, it is evident that
decisions to invest are due to the demand for an expected money return in
the future. A decision not to invest, as
we have seen above, is due to a competing demand to use a stock of
money in the present.
4.
The Gains of Exchange
As in the case considered in chapter 2, the sellers who are included in
the sale at the equilibrium price are those whose value scales make
them the most capable, the most eager, sellers. Similarly, it will be
the most capable, or most eager, buyers who will purchase the good at
the equilibrium price. With a price of two and a half grains of gold
per pound of butter, the sellers will be those for whom two and a half
grains of gold is worth more than one pound of butter; the buyers will
be those for whom the reverse valuation holds. Those who are
excluded from sale or purchase by their own value scales are the
“less capable,” or “less
eager,” buyers and sellers, who may be referred to as
“submarginal.” The “marginal”
buyer and the “marginal” seller are the ones whose
schedules just barely permit them to stay in the market. The marginal
seller is the one whose minimum selling price is just two and a half; a
slightly lower selling price would drive him out of the market. The
marginal buyer is the one whose maximum buying price is just two and a
half; a slightly higher selling price would drive him out of the
market. Under the law of price uniformity, all the exchanges are made
at the equilibrium price (once it is established), i.e.,
between the valuations of the marginal buyer and those of the marginal
seller, with the demand and supply schedules and their
intersection determining the point of the margin. It is clear from the
nature of human action that all buyers will benefit (or decide they
will benefit) from the exchange. Those who abstain from buying the good
have decided that they would lose from the exchange. These propositions
hold true for all goods.
Much importance has been attached by some writers to the
“psychic surplus” gained through exchange by the
most capable buyers and sellers, and attempts have been made to measure
or compare these “surpluses.” The buyer who would
have bought the same amount for four grains is obviously attaining a
subjective benefit because he can buy it for two and a half grains. The
same holds for the seller who might have been willing to sell the same
amount for two grains. However, the psychic surplus of the
“supramarginal” cannot be contrasted to, or
measured against, that of the marginal buyer or seller. For it
must be remembered that the marginal buyer or seller also
receives a psychic surplus: he gains from the exchange, or else he
would not make it. Value scales of each individual are purely
ordinal, and there is no way whatever of measuring the
distance between the rankings; indeed, any concept of such
distance is a fallacious one. Consequently, there is no way of making
interpersonal comparisons and measurements, and no basis for saying
that one person subjectively benefits more than another.
We may illustrate the impossibility of measuring utility or
benefit in the following way. Suppose that the equilibrium
market price for eggs has been established at three grains per dozen.
The following are the value scales of some selected buyers and
would-be buyers:

The
money prices are divided into units of one-half grain; for
purposes of simplification, each buyer is assumed to be
considering the purchase of one unit—one
dozen eggs. C is obviously a submarginal buyer; he is just excluded
from the purchase because three grains is higher on his value scale
than the dozen eggs. A and B, however, will make the purchase. Now A is
a marginal buyer; he is just able to make the purchase. At a price of
three and a half grains, he would be excluded from the market, because
of the rankings on his value scale. B, on the other
hand, is a supramarginal buyer: he would buy the dozen eggs even if the
price were raised to four and a half grains. But can we say that B
benefits from his purchase more than A? No,
we cannot. Each value scale, as has been explained
above, is purely ordinal, a matter of rank. Even though B prefers the
eggs to four and a half grains, and A prefers three and a half grains
to the eggs, we still have no standard for comparing the two surpluses.
All we can say is that above the price of three
grains, B has a psychic surplus from exchange, while A becomes
submarginal, with no surplus. But, even if we assume for a moment that
the concept of “distance” between ranks makes
sense, for all we know, A’s surplus over three grains may
give him a far greater subjective utility than B’s surplus
over three grains, even though the latter is also a surplus over four
and a half grains. There can be no interpersonal comparison of
utilities, and the relative rankings of money and goods on different
value scales cannot be used for such comparisons.
Those writers who have vainly attempted to measure psychic gains from
exchange have concentrated on “consumer surpluses.”
Most recent attempts try to base their measurements on the price a man
would have paid for the good if confronted with the
possibility of being deprived of it. These methods are
completely fallacious. The fact that A would have bought a suit at 80
gold grains as well as at the 50 grains’ market price, while
B would not have bought the suit if the price had been as high as 52
grains, does not, as we have seen, permit any measurement of the
psychic surpluses, nor does it permit us to say that A’s gain
was in any way “greater” than B’s. The
fact that even if we could identify the marginal and supramarginal
purchasers, we could never assert that one’s gain is greater
than another’s is a conclusive reason for the
rejection of all attempts to measure consumers’ or
other psychic surpluses.
There are several other fundamental methodological errors in such a
procedure. In the first place, individual value scales are here
separated from concrete action. But economics deals with the universal
aspects of real action, not with the actors’ inner
psychological workings. We deduce the existence of a specific value
scale on the basis of the real act; we have no
knowledge of that part of a value scale that is not revealed in real
action. The question how much one would pay if threatened with
deprivation of the whole stock of a good is strictly an
academic question with no relation to human action. Like all
other such constructions, it has no place in economics.
Furthermore, this particular concept is a reversion to the
classical economic fallacy of dealing with the whole supply of a good
as if it were relevant to individual action. It must be understood that
only marginal units are relevant to action and that
there is no determinate relation at all between the marginal
utility of a unit and the utility of the supply as a whole.
It is true that the total utility of a supply increases with the size
of the supply. This is deducible from the very nature of a good. Ten
units of a good will be ranked higher on an
individual’s value scale than four units will. But
this ranking is completely unrelated to the utility ranking of
each unit when the supply is 4, 9, 10, or any other
amount. This is true regardless of the size of the unit. We can affirm
only the trivial ordinal relationship, i.e., that five units
will have a higher utility than one unit, and that the first unit will
have a higher utility than the second unit, the third unit, etc. But
there is no determinate way of lining up the single utility with the
“package” utility.
Total utility, indeed,
makes sense as a real and relevant rather than as a hypothetical
concept only when actual decisions must be made concerning the whole
supply. In that case, it is still marginal
utility, but with the size of the margin or unit now being the whole
supply.
The absurdity of the attempt to measure consumers’ surplus
would become clearer if we considered, as we logically may, all
the consumers’ goods at once and attempted to measure in any
way the undoubted “consumers’ surplus”
arising from the fact that production for exchange exists at all. This
has never been attempted.
The exceptions are direct
exchanges that might be made between two goods on the basis of their
hypothetical exchange ratios on the market. These exchanges, however,
are relatively isolated and unimportant and depend on the money prices
of the two goods.
Many writers interpret the
“purchasing power of the monetary unit” as being
some sort of “price level,” a measurable entity
consisting of some sort of average of “all goods
combined.” The major classical economists did not take this
fallacious position:
When
they speak of the value of money or of the level of prices without
explicit qualification, they mean the array of prices, of both
commodities and services, in all its particularity and without
conscious implication of any kind of statistical average.
(Jacob Viner, Studies in the Theory of International Trade
[New York: Harper & Bros., 1937], p. 314)
Also
cf. Joseph A. Schumpeter, History of Economic Analysis
(New York: Oxford University Press, 1954), p. 1094.
The tabulations in the text are
simplified for convenience and are not strictly correct. For suppose
that the man had already paid six gold grains for one ounce of butter.
When he decides on a purchase of another pound of butter, his ranking
for all the units of money rise, since he now has a
lower stock of money than he had before. Our tabulations, therefore, do
not fully portray the rise in the marginal utility of money as money is
spent. However, the correction reinforces, rather
than modifies, our conclusion that the maximum demand-price falls as
quantity increases, for we see that it will fall still further than we
have depicted.
On market-supply schedules, cf.
Friedrich von Wieser, Social Economics (London:
George Allen & Unwin, 1927), pp. 179–84.
The reader is referred to the
section on “Stock and the Total Demand to Hold” in
chapter 2, pp. 137–42.
If there is no reservation-demand
schedule on the part of the sellers, then the total demand to hold is identical
with the regular demand schedule.
The proof that the two
sets of curves always yield the same equilibrium price is as follows:
Let, at any price, the quantity demanded = D, the
quantity supplied = S, the quantity of existing
stock = K, the quantity of reserved demand = R,
and the total demand to hold = T. The following are
always true, by definition:
S = K
– R
T = D + R
Now,
at the equilibrium price, where S and D
intersect, S is obviously equal to D.
But if S = D, then T
= K – R + R, or T
= K.
Of course, this equilibrium price
might be a zone rather than a single price in those
cases where there is a zone between the valuations of the marginal
buyer and those of the marginal seller. See the analysis of one buyer
and one seller in chapter 2, above, pp. 107–10. In such rare
cases, where there generally must be very few buyers and very few
sellers, there is a zone within which the market is cleared at any
point, and there is room for “bargaining skill” to
maneuver. In the extensive markets of the money economy,
however, even one buyer and one seller are likely to have one
determinate price or a very narrow zone between their maximum buying-
and minimum selling-prices.
See chapter 2 above, pp.
130–37.
This and the analysis of chapter 2
refute the charge made by some writers that speculation is
“self-justifying,” that it distorts the effects of
the underlying supply and demand factors, by tending to establish
pseudoequilibrium prices on the market. The truth is the reverse;
speculative errors in estimating underlying factors are
self-correcting, and anticipation tends to establish the true
equilibrium market-price more rapidly.
Compare this analysis with the
analysis of direct exchange, chapter 2 above, pp. 160–61.
See chapter 2 above, pp.
142–44.
We might, in some situations, make
such comparisons as historians, using imprecise judgment. We cannot,
however, do so as praxeologists or economists.
For more on these matters, see
Rothbard, “Toward a Reconstruction of Utility and Welfare
Economics,” pp. 224–43. Also see
Mises, Theory of Money and Credit, pp.
38–47.
It is interesting that those who
attempt to measure consumers’ surplus explicitly rule out
consideration of all goods or of any good that
looms “large” in the consumers’ budget.
Such a course is convenient, but illogical, and glosses over
fundamental difficulties in the analysis. It is, however,
typical of the Marshallian tradition in economics. For an explicit
statement by a leading present-day Marshallian, see
D.H. Robertson, Utility and All That (London:
George Allen & Unwin, 1952), p. 16.
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