The Monetary Writings of Carl Menger by Hans Sennholz
| Reprinted from The Gold Standard: An Austrian Perspective,
by Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr. (Lexington, Mass.: Lexington Books,
1985), pp. 19–34. |
Downloadable PDF
version |
The
Monetary Writings of Carl Menger
Hans F. Sennholz
A founder of a
scientific system cannot be expected to develop his system in all
details. His
strength and lifetime may be insufficient to develop all implications
and conclusions. He may prepare the blueprint
and erect a few pillars that will support the structure. He may even give a great deal of
care to a few details. But even the greatest mind must be
content with a system that contains many
cursory thoughts and unproven parts. He must rely on scholars who
follow him to expand and complete the task.
Carl Menger
was such a founder who in many respects resembled that great builder of
classical economic thought, Adam Smith. In more or less modified form
both systems of thought continue to exercise influence on contemporary
economic thinking. Both were rejected by some thinkers, modified and
criticized by others. Some used parts of the system as foundations on
which they built magnificent superstructures; others have used them as
points of departure to build theories of their own.
Carl Menger’s Grundsätze der Volkswirtschaftslehre (Principles
of Economics, 1871) is one of the greatest tracts in economic
literature.
Few books have had a comparable influence, not because it was
widely read and loudly acclaimed, but because a few capable students
and followers recognized its value and adopted its thought. In it Menger
laid a solid foundation for the theory of subjective value and a theory
of the origin of money. He did not formulate many distinct theories in
the book, but his brilliant observations there served as the
cornerstones for many theories to come.
A few years later Menger published his second great work, which in its
field was as significant as the Grundsätze. He aroused
the interest of the academic world and the anger of the German
Historical School with his Untersuchungen über die Methode der
Sozialwissenschaften und der politischen Oekonomie ins besondere (Inquiries
into the Method of the Social Sciences and Particularly Political
Economy, 1883). This essay started the “battle of the century,”
commonly called the Methodenstreit (controversy on method).
Both works are landmarks in the history of economic thought. Both were
translated in a number of other languages and are available to students
of economics everywhere. But little is known about Menger’s later
monetary writings, which helped to bring currency reform and sounder
money to Austria. Between 1889 and 1893
Menger published seven essays on monetary theory and currency reform
that rank among the outstanding works on the subject matter. They are
available only in the German language, which has seriously limited
their influence on contemporary economic thought.
In the order of their publication Menger’s monetary writings include
the following:
- “Die
Kaufkraft des Guldens österreichischer Währung” (The
Purchasing Power of the Austrian Guilder), 1889
- “Geld”
(Money), 1892, 2nd revised edition 1909
- “Beiträge
zur Währungsfrage” (Contributions to the Currency Issue), 1892
- “Der
Uebergang zur Goldwährung” (Transition to a Gold Currency), 1892
- “Aussagen in
der Valutaenquete” (Testimony before the Currency Commission), 1892
- “Von unserer
Valuta” (On Our Currency), 1892
- “Das
Goldagio und der heutige Stand der Valutareform” (The Gold Premium and
the Present Currency Reform), 1893
On
the Origin of Money
In this Principles Carl Menger had already sketched an
irrefutable theory of the origin of money. He had dealt with it as a
great thinker would deal with an important thought that deserves
further scrutiny. In just a few pages he had presented an explanation
of the origin of money, had enumerated “the kinds of money appropriate
to particular peoples and to particular historical periods,” had
refuted the notion of money as a “measure of price,” and
described the development of coinage systems. But in Principles he
did not proceed to the central problem of money, which is its exchange
value, commonly called its purchasing power. He did announce “the
theory of money,” which is the very title of his chapter on money, but
he actually developed only a brilliant theory of the origin of
money.
Carl Menger refuted the doctrines so popular throughout the ages that
indirect exchange and money are the products of authoritarian decree or
social covenant. Plato had defined money as “an agreed-upon token for
barter,” and Aristotle had found that money was a product of agreement
and law. Menger demonstrated, instead, that it is the unintended result
of individual efforts of members of society. Every single individual is
interested in exchanging less marketable goods for those of greater
marketabilty, durability, and divisibility. Man’s search for more
marketable goods in time leads him to the most marketable good, which
may also be the most durable, divisible, and transportable good known
to him. Without any agreement, without legislative compulsion, in fact,
even without any consideration of public interest and the public good,
individuals are persuaded to exchange their goods and services for more
marketable goods, even if they are not needed for immediate use. The
economic good that emerges as the most marketable good of all is called
money.
In his great essay on money,
which he completed more then twenty years later, Menger embarked
upon a more systematic investigation into the nature of money. Once
again his analysis led him toward a theory of the origin of money that
openly contradicted the statist and socialist doctrines of his day.
They credited the state with the “invention” of money and assigned its
regulation and control to government. According to Menger, however, it
is an irrefutable fact that individuals are eager to acquire money not
by orders of their government, but in order to exchange it later for
other economic goods. It is this conduct of individuals that is making
certain goods the media of exchange.
In Menger’s time many writers were eager to add secondary functions to
that of medium of exchange. They spoke of money facilitating credit
transactions or transmitting value through time and space. Or they
dwelt on money as a general medium of payment. But Menger showed
convincingly that all secondary functions can be deduced from the
function of money as common medium of exchange. A credit transaction,
after all, is merely an exchange of a present good for a future good.
To be a transmitter of value through time and space depends on special
suitability of a good for hoarding and shipping, which adds
marketability and therefore enhances a good’s qualification as medium
of exchange.
On
the Demand for Money
Carl Menger did not formulate a complete theory of the value of money,
but the germs of almost all later doctrines and theories are more or
less recognizable in his essay on money. His primary task was to
explode many errors and fallacies that were leaving their mark not only
on monetary thought but also on government policies. Above all, he
sought to counter the growing trend toward holistic and collectivistic
considerations by tracing all phenomena back to the actions of
individuals. In all his investigations he sought to apply his
subjective value theory and emphasize its importance for the
elucidation of economic phenomena.
Throughout the history of economic thought many writers argued for the
largest possible quantity of money. Others sought to enumerate
objective factors that allegedly determine the demand for money. They
suggested that the demand for money was determined by the quantity of
exchangeable goods available in an economy, or by the volume of
payments that need to be made. Others yet continue to speak of the
velocity of circulation as a significant factor that influences the
demand for money. All such explanations, according to Menger, are
missing the mark. A realistic theory of the demand for money must be
based on the monetary demand of individuals or groups of individuals
who comprise a national economy. Their demand is the ultimate guage of
the national demand. In Menger’s own words:
The
monetary demand of a national economy is the sum of the moneys needed
by individuals and groups of individuals participating in the division
of labor. It is a quantity the significance of which is visible not
only in the aggregate, but also in the distribution among individuals.
But the national demand is not a mere summation of the cash demand of
individuals. We must consider also the services of financial
institutions that substitute their instruments for cash or at least
economize the use of cash.
There is a demand for money because people want to hold some cash. They
demand money in order to exchange it ultimately for other economic
goods; they appraise it in the same way as they appraise all other
economic goods. Their demand is reduced somewhat by institutions for
the settlement of claims and counterclaims by mutual cancellation, such
as clearinghouses. But such factors influence the demand for money only
indirectly through their influence on people’s desire for cash holdings.
Menger traced all monetary phenomena back to the choices and actions of
individuals. He always took his stand against holistic concepts and
notions. To him, it was a grievous error to calculate and make use of
holistic concepts, such as total volume of trade, total quantity of
money, general price levels, and velocity of national circulation.
There are no objective factors creating a national demand; any and all
factors affect individuals only as motivation.
The
Purchasing Power of Money
It is an erroneous belief that money enters the market endowed with a
given purchasing power independent of the valuations of individuals.
Actually it receives its exchange value from the subjective valuations
of all the persons exchanging goods and services in the market. But
this exchange value appears to individuals as an accomplished fact, a
given purchasing power, that must be accepted unconditionally. It is a
given quantity of other economic goods that are offered for its
acquisition. As the price of other goods and services is expressed in
terms of money, so is the “price” of money—its purchasing
power—expressed in the quantity of other goods that are offered for its
acquisition. Several times Carl Menger announced a theory of the
purchasing power of money. Several times he laid a solid foundation for
such a theory but then failed to develop it in detail.
In his Principles of Economics Menger seemed to suggest that
the value of money ultimately depends on the value of the material of
which it is made. He offered a theory that explains the value of gold
and silver coins from their potential use for industrial purposes. If
for any reason the coins would lose their industrial usefulness they
would also lose their purchasing power. Menger wrote:
I
refer to the observation that the character of money as an industrial
metal often completely disappears from the consciousness of economizing
men because of the smoothness of operation of our trading mechanism,
and that men therefore only notice its character as a means of
exchange. The force of custom is so strong that the ability of a metal
used as money to continue in this role is assured even when men are not
directly aware of its character as an industrial metal. This
observation is entirely correct. But it is also quite evident that the
ability of a material to serve as money, as well as the custom on which
this ability is founded, would disappear immediately, if the character
of money as a material applicable to industrial purposes were destroyed
by some accident. I am ready to admit that, under highly developed
conditions of trade, money is regarded by many economizing men only as
a token. But it is quite certain that this illustration would
immediately be dispelled if the character of coins as quantities of
industrial raw materials were lost.
His 1889 essay “The Purchasing Power of the Austrian Guilder” affirmed
the same value theory, but under certain conditions also professed
a kind of supply and demand theory that embodied elements of a quantity
theory. He was greatly alarmed by the fact that the guilder’s
purchasing power exceeded the metal value of the silver guilder, which
to him was an “economic anomality” harboring “the greatest dangers to
the Austrian economy.”
Since 1879 the guilder had traded considerably above the value of the
silver contained in the guilder. Menger explained this discrepancy as
“rarity value” which came into existence when the government closed the
mint. The market price of silver bullion had been falling throughout
the l870s, which in time would have caused the purchasing power of the
guilder to fall to its bullion value. To take advantage of the lower
silver cost, the people would have taken more silver to the mint to
convert bullion to coins. But government intervened by closing the
mint. “Free silver coinage would have prevented the discrepancy between
the value of bullion and coinage,” Menger explained. It would have kept
the guilder’s purchasing power at par with its silver value. But “under
the present, artificially created conditions, the purchasing power of
the Austrian guilder is determined by the relationship between the
circulating media and the public demand for such media.”
Menger viewed the “rarity value” of money with great alarm. “There
cannot be any doubt,” he warned his readers, “that since 1879 the
guilder’s purchasing power has been subjected to continuous
fluctuations.” It is affected by every change in economic activity, in
fact, inversely affected as money with fictitious value will neither
enter nor leave the country and therefore escape the “regulatory
influence of unlimited coinage.”
In his 1892 “Contributions to the Currency Issue” Menger added four
more “evils” and “dangers.” First, the peculiarities of the Austrian
monetary order cause the exchange rates between guilders and foreign
currencies to fluctuate continually, which prevents reliable
calculation for foreign trade and commerce. They turn all foreign trade
into currency speculation and make all sales a “double business.”
Second, an artificial monetary system always faces the danger of a
sudden resumption of coinage, which, in this case, would lower the
guilder’s objective exchange value and seriously disrupt financial
markets. As the suspension of coinage was ordered without benefit
of law or even regulation, it may be resumed at any moment. Third, an
artificial currency is rather vulnerable to all kinds of crisis, which
may cause it to fall to new discounts not only toward gold but even
toward silver. And fourth, it is probably the greatest danger that
silver prices can be expected to fall further and thus cause the
discrepancy between the purchasing power of the silver guilder and its
precious metal value to widen even further. It would render the
Austrian currency system ever more precarious.
Menger’s concern about the “anomality” of the Austrian currency
undoubtedly reflected his great anxiety about the total dependence of
the Austrian national bank and its currency issues on the state. Again
and again the Austrian government had used the bank to finance
budgetary deficits and market its treasury obligations. Even after it
had closed the mint in 1879, it had continued to manufacture silver
guilders for its own account. In short, its repeated interventions had
caused a separation of the guilder’s purchasing power from its metallic
base. In Menger’s own words, purchasing power was “floating in mid-air”
and, “in the true sense of the word, was reflecting an original rarity
value brought forth by genuine and relatively severe rationing of our
currency.”
Professor Menger, of course, was describing the fiat standard that
causes the purchasing power of money to “float in mid-air.” That is,
the objective exchange value of money is determined by demand and
supply—in the same way as the exchange ratios between other marketable
goods are determined. In this sense his “float theory” becomes a
“quantity theory” that points the way toward a modern theory of money.
He placed the theory of money on a new foundation, the subjective value
theory. But he did not have the opportunity or inclination to analyze
the various determinants of the objective exchange value of money. He
offered no explanation of the process of value determination at any
given time and place.
Menger left this task to Friedrich von Wieser and Ludwig von Mises. The
former elaborated the problem in a brilliant essay on the value of
money and developed some determinants, especially the historical
elements.
The latter presented a complete subjective theory of the value of
money in his 1912 treatise Theorie des Geldes und der Umlaufsmittel
(The Theory of Money and Credit).
The
Gold Standard
For Menger the pending currency reform made extreme demands on his time
and strength. It made the year 1892 probably the most productive year
in terms of literary effort and output. In January and February he
published a series of articles “On Our Currency” in the Allegemeine
Juristen Zeitung (General Journal for Jurists). On March 15 and 17
he testified before the Currency Commission that was meeting in Vienna.
In June his “Contributions to the Currency Issue,” which had first
appeared in the Jahrbücher für Nationaloekonomie und
Statistik,
were republished as a separate booklet of fifty-nine pages by an
eminent publisher, Gustav Fischer, in Jena. In the same month
Menger released a thirty-six-page essay on the problems of “Transition
to a Gold Currency” with Wilhelm Braumüller in Vienna and Leipzig. All these efforts
sought to guide Austrian policymakers in their stated objective to
reform the currency system and adopt the gold standard.
To Menger the gold
standard was the ideal standard for civilized nations. In his
“Contributions to the Currency Issue” he waxed eloquently on the evils
of the “limping silver standard” and the great merits of a gold
standard:
It is no
coincidence that the civilized nations are striving universally and
urgently to introduce a gold currency. Gold is the money of advanced
nations in the modern age. No other money can provide the convenience
of a gold currency in our age of rapid and massive commodity exchanges.
Silver has become a troublesome tool of trade. Even paper money must
yield to gold when it comes to monetary convenience in everyday life. A
ten- or five-guilder gold coin would be more convenient than our ten-
or five-guilder note. Moreover, under present conditions only a gold
currency constitutes hard money. Neither a bank note and treasury note
nor a silver certificate can take the place of gold, especially in
moments of crisis.
The historic trend toward the formation of large states and markets has
given additional impetus to gold as medium of exchange. In larger
countries silver cannot even mediate satisfactorily domestic trade.
International trade, which must not be restricted artificially, is
growing in significance and dependence on gold. It also forces small
countries to join larger trade areas and adopt gold as a medium of
exchange. The international balance of payments of modern countries can
only be settled in gold. Gold is the money of the world in our age;
silver is the money of second-class countries only. Especially since
the most important trading countries are using gold, no progressive
society can cling to silver without becoming isolated—like an economic
island in international commerce. We are accustomed to view economic
problems from every conceivable angle except that given by their very
nature and substance. Therefore, it is all the more important to
emphasize that gold is the right medium of exchange for our age, not
because it serves the interests of certain groups, but because it renders
the services of money in a most useful, secure, and expedient manner.
Menger did not
overlook the technical and economic advantages of a gold currency, such
as inexpensive minting, difficult counterfeiting, little wear and tear,
greatest convenience, and easy transport Above all, gold was the money
of Austria’s neighbors and trade
partners, and the gold standard the only standard that offered full
parity of the Austrian currency with other currencies.
Menger exerted a powerful influence on Austrian
economic affairs After all, he was the most celebrated Austrian
economist, who a few years earlier had engaged the German economists in
the heated Methodenstreit (dispute on method) from which he
had emerged with great honor and acclaim. Moreover, he had been the
tutor to the eighteen-year old crown prince of Austria, the ill-fated
Archduke Rudolf In 1892, the year of the currency reform, Menger’s
voice was heard throughout the land, expounding and illustrating the
merits of the gold standard. But he did not hesitate to point to two
important problems which the currency commission had simply ignored:
the general worldwide tendency of gold to appreciate in exchange value
and the further rise of this exchange value as a result of the Austrian
currency reform.
Menger rejected the old argument of the opponents of the gold standard
that the quantity of newly mined gold in time will be insufficient to
meet the growing needs of business, that the gold standard lacks the
needed flexibility in the supply of money and, therefore, will cause
serious shortages of money. In reality, as Menger pointed out, a
growing relative scarcity of gold will raise the exchange value of gold
and the purchasing power of every gold coin. “Surely, even if all the
fears of declining gold production should come to pass, gold coins will
not lose their function as media of exchange, but rather serve it ever
more conveniently as their purchasing power continues to rise.”
To dispel the popular fear that the world will run out of gold and that
its purchasing power is bound to soar, which would cause goods prices
to fall, Menger cited the estimates of the U.S. director of the mint, a
Mr. Leech, according to whom the low point of world gold production of
less than 5 million ounces annually was reached in the years 1881 to
1885. Thereafter production began to rise again and exceeded 5.6
million ounces in 1890. Menger also called attention to the rising gold
production in South Africa, where 65,000 ounces
were mined in 1885, 220,000 ounces in 1888, 400,000 ounces in 1889,
500,000 ounces in 1890, and more than 750,000 ounces in 1891.
Of course, he could not foresee that South Africa was about to become
the most important gold-producing country, which in time would
“inflate” the world with gold at a production rate of more than 30
million ounces per year. Gold mining in other countries would add
another 15–17 million ounces annually.
Menger was greatly concerned about the possible rise of the purchasing
power of gold as a result of the Austrian currency reform. “No
reasonable and knowledgeable observer of the situation can
guarantee that the Austrian currency reform, even with most careful
execution, will not bring about a considerable rise in the value of
gold,” he wrote.
It may cause goods prices to decline throughout the gold standard
countries, cause wage rates to fall, and above all, change all
creditor—debtor relationships to the benefit of creditors and the
detriment of debtors. There could be evil consequences that must be
avoided through careful planning and orderly transition to a gold
currency.
To
avoid a sudden rise in gold value as a result of new Austrian gold
demand, Menger recommended a number of policy measures that, at least
during a lengthy period of transition, would reduce the individual
demand for gold. He favored the issue of subsidiary silver coins or
notes fully backed by silver but also redeemable in gold, issue of
smaller denomination bank notes, permission of note-issuing banks to
hold part of their reserves in silver, no minting of small denomination
gold coins, establishment of an international clearinghouse, further
development of savings banks and savings associations, of the deposit
system transferring deposits by checks, and other credit and
clearing organizations. Such measures would allow the major nations
gradually to enjoy the benefits of the gold standard without
aggravating the danger of rising gold value. Having given due care and
consideration of the interests of other countries on the gold standard,
Menger claimed the right to acquire gold and proceed with the currency
reform. After all, “it seems to be an impermissible and hopeless
undertaking to assign to some civilized countries the role of
second-class countries in monetary affairs,” he observed.
Testifying before the Currency Commission
In the spring of 1892, the secretary of the Austro-Hungarian treasury,
Dr. Steinbach, invited Menger and other experts to testify before his
committee and especially comment on the following questions:
1. What
should be the standard of the currency system?
2. If it should be gold, should a quantity of silver coins
be permitted, and what quantity?
3. Should it
be permissible to issue a quantity of fully redeemable,
non–interest-bearing
treasury notes, and under what conditions?
4. What should be the ratio of conversion of the silver
guilder to gold?
5. What should be the currency unit?
In his lengthy testimony Menger again pointed at the great evils of the
then current system, the speculative nature of all foreign trade, the
isolation of Austrian financial affairs from the world market, the
permanent pressure on Austrian prices, and permanently higher interest
rates. But the worst evil and “central issue to the currency problem”,
according to Menger, was the great discrepancy between the guilder and
its silver content, which he estimated at 20 percent. “The government
of Austria-Hungary is in the position, by
mere executive order, to reduce the real value of all obligations by
one-fifth and give instant relief to all debtors. . . . In fact, every
secretary of the treasury can reduce the wealth of a great many
citizens by 20 percent.”
Moreover, the purchasing power of the guilder may fall even
further on account of the “irrational circulation of 312 to 412 million
guilders of treasury notes,” which may lead to a silver premium and
note discount; altogether, many citizens of Austria-Hungary were facing
the real danger of losing nearly 50 percent of their real wealth.
Therefore, in answer to the first question, Menger recommended
adoption of the gold standard. But he urged the government to proceed
most carefully and deliberately lest it disrupt the international
gold market and cause the purchasing power of gold to rise. Currency
redemption should commence only after years of thorough preparation
when government should acquire the needed quantity of gold without
disrupting or disturbing the precious metals markets.
To the second question, on the desirability of a quantity of silver
coins under a gold standard, Menger had a ready answer: “A good silver
currency presents no danger, for it replaces gold coins from which it
receives its value.”
Great dangers to the gold standard only arise from excessive
issues of silver coins. The situation is explained by two basic
economic principles pertaining to money: Gresham’s law, according to
which bad money crowds out a corresponding quantity of good money if
both must be exchanged at faulty exchange rates, and the principle of
monetary substitution, according to which good money serving as the
common medium of exchange confers value on bad money that is fully
redeemable in the former. Gold determines the value of silver money
circulating beside it as long as the latter is present only in strictly
limited quantities.
Menger sounded like a politician speaking to fellow politicians on the
Currency Commission. Three distinct thoughts seem to permeate his
testimony: the desirability of the gold standard for his country, his
deep concern about potential disruptions of the international gold
market as a result of Austria-Hungary’s adoption of the gold standard,
and his effort to make the transition as palatable and simple as
possible. Seeking to convince his countrymen that the gold standard was
within their reach, he pointed out that the standard prevalent was
“gold-plated.” But although the European currencies were gold-plated,
Menger said,
We must not scorn
them. Money is no luxury. A gold-plated item at first renders the same
services as genuine items as long as the plating is solid. If a gold
currency is plated so solidly that it can survive the corrosive acid of
a commercial crisis or even the ordeal of a war, then nothing can be
said against it. In its center is a nucleus of solid paper, covered by
a layer of subsidiary coins, covered by yet another thin layer of
silver coins, and finally, over it all, a solid layer of gold. If we
keep it that way we have a very useful gold currency. There are no pure
gold currencies in Europe, only gold-plated
currencies, even in England. Let us not be too
demanding.
Menger answered the third question in a similar manner: There is no
basic objection to the emission of government obligations and their use
as money as long as the quantity remains relatively small. But
government obligations encounter great distrust, which cannot be
surprising in the light of their sad history in Austria-Hungary. Therefore its
quantity must be strictly limited to no more than 90 to 100 million
guilders, which would amount to some 10 percent of government revenues.
The notes must be redeemable at any time, but not be granted the
quality of legal tender. In Menger’s own words,
The
prompt redeemability of treasury notes in cash at the central treasury
and, if possible, at all other public treasuries, may not only
strengthen the fickle confidence of the people, but also serve
effectively to limit their emission to the needed quantity. No
objection can be raised from a technical financial point of view to
regular emissions of some 90 to 100 million guilders that are fully
redeemable on demand.
For
the same reason Menger even defended the issue of small denomination
treasury notes: “As far as their acceptability and usage are concerned,
I can see no danger in the emission of small, always redeemable notes,
that is, five-guilder notes or even a certain quantity of one-guilder
notes.”
The fourth question, concerning the conversion ratio, was, according to
Menger, a question of justice. We must create a just guilder
that does not shift individual wealth, inflicting losses on some people
and granting profits to others. In a currency reform the owner of
present money must receive such quantities of gold money as he would be
able to buy on his own in the moment of currency reform. All exchanges,
therefore, should pursue the principle of “present rate,” which is the
only fair rate.
The same principle must apply also to the conversion of debt stated in
old currency to debt denominated in new currency. The “present rate” is
the only just conversion ratio. Menger rejected expressly the proposal
that any debt conversion should be mindful of the exchange rate that
existed at the time the debt was incurred. Future changes of exchange
rates may be considered, but past changes in the purchasing power of
money must not be taken into account in the conversion. He testified:
The
debtor who on January 1, 1862, incurred a debt of
1,000 guilders owes his creditor 1,000 guilders of present value. I do
not deny that money, like all other goods, is subject to value changes.
Its purchasing power is changing. Thirty years ago a guilder had more
or less purchasing power. But this fact is ignored in legislation as
well as in every-day life. He who owes 1,000 guilders and can only
repay 999 guilders can be thrown into bankruptcy. But he who pays his
creditor 1,000 guilders that in the meantime have lost one-third of
their purchasing power, discharges his obligation. I should like
to add that we all are accustomed to ignore such changes in the
purchasing power of money. Even such excellent bankers as you,
gentlemen, prepare your annual balance sheets without considering
whether your capital has gained in purchasing power or whether it has
lost. . . . Therefore, while we may consider future changes in
purchasing power, we may ignore past changes in a conversion of old
currency debt to new gold-currency debt.
The last question, on the future currency unit, occasioned only a few
comments by Menger. He opposed the thought of Austria-Hungary joining a German mark
system or a French franc system. Such a union would generate extreme
confusion and necessitate complicated exchange rate calculations. He
favored the preservation of the old guilder as currency unit but
recommended that a new half-guilder coin be added to the given coinage.
He warned against two possible mint mistakes, to make coins either too
large or too small for ready acceptance and use by the public. For him
the present guilder was just right, an ideal unit for a gold currency.
Errors
of Reform
On August
2, 1892, a
few months after Menger testified before the Currency Commission, the
Austro-Hungarian government conducted the currency reform. It enacted
an exchange rate of one guilder or two new crowns to 2.10027 French
francs and announced gold redemption for January 1, 1896 or 1897, or
possibly earlier. In an essay published in the Bohemia in June 1893, under the
title “The Gold Premium and the Present Currency Reform,” Professor
Menger analyzed the reform and criticized the official blunders. Except
for a minor essay on “Money and Coinage since 1857,” in the Oestereichische
Staatswörterbuch, in 1897, and except for the 1900 and 1909
editions of his famous essay on money, this work on the gold premium
was to be his last on the subject matter of money. Thereafter, the
genius reformer of classical economics and fearless knight of the Methodenstreit
fell into silence as if he despaired about his country and the
world.
Menger applauded the early successes of the reform. The currency act
establishing the gold crown had hardly been passed when gold was
entering the country. The conditions were most favorable as South
African gold production was accelerating, lowering the exchange value
of gold. But above all, the government of the United States was conducting
inflationary policies that led to massive shipments of gold to Austria. More than half of the
gold imports consisted of American eagles.
But
amid all the exuberance of success, a most disturbing factor began to
make its appearance: Gold and foreign exchange rose to a 3 percent
premium. All further gold acquisition had to be suspended and the
reform interrupted because the guilder fell to a serious discount. The
ultimate goal of reform, the beginning of redemption in gold,
disappeared on the distant horizon.
The reason for this embarrassing development, according to Menger, had
to be sought in a number of official blunders. The government had
rushed to convert its funds into gold, which had greatly lifted the
price of its obligations and substantially lowered their yield. In
fact, silver obligations that are about to be converted to gold
obligations tend to rise in price and their yields tend to fall,
especially if silver is falling in value and gold is rising. In Austria-Hungary the public enthusiasm
about the new gold currency caused interest rates to plummet, which
soon surpassed all expectations and connections with Austrian reality.
A reaction in the form of rising interest rates, rising gold prices,
and falling guilder value became unavoidable.
The readjustment was all the more painful as Austrian obligations owned
and held abroad experienced the same boom and bust. By 1893 many
foreigners were selling their guilder holdings in Austrian markets, or
were withdrawing their deposits, which depressed the guilder and lifted
gold even further.
As soon as the gold premium made its appearance, Professor Menger
insisted, the gold purchases should have been suspended. But the
authorities did the very opposite. The purchases were continued with
great haste. “In fact one could get the impression,” Menger observed,
“that the great and complicated reform work lacked consistent
leadership, that everyone proceeded on his own account, the governments
of both Austria and Hungary, the central bank, and the gold-purchase
syndicate, that each one sought to excel the other in ‘success
stories.’ Thereby all precautions were thrown to the wind.”
The purchases were conducted in great haste by various government
authorities. But above all, the Austro-Hungarian Bank, which was the
note-issuing central bank, bought most of the gold in the domestic
market, thereby draining and depleting this market of gold and foreign
exchange until it brought forth a gold premium and guilder discount.
The bank bought gold for some 40 million guilders, thus releasing new
bank credits through what later was to be called “open market
purchases,” thereby spreading fears of depreciation throughout the
exchange markets. Therefore, it can hardly be surprising that the
guilder fell to a discount.
To commence redemption of all notes in gold and thus return to sound
money, Menger considered it an inescapable requirement to eradicate the
gold premium and note discount. In his own words,
For
the present state of our currency it does not matter much
whether we must calculate in guilders or half-guilders, in pennies or
half-pennies, whether we use convenient one-guilder notes or
inconvenient undervalued silver guilders or silver crowns, whether
we make change in silver or copper coins, or in nickel or bronze
subsidiary coins, whether the gold is kept in this bank or shipped to
that bank. But a serious and purposeful currency reform is not possible
as long as domestic and foreign markets deny us the exchange rates on
which we legally have embarked.
Menger
was always skeptical about the knowledge and wisdom of the political
authorities that were conducting the reform. But he had an abiding
faith in the principles and laws of the market that spring from the
subjective choices and actions of men, if only the authorities would
abstain from inflicting new harm on society, economic conditions would
soon improve through adjustment and readjustment. In his words: “For a
healing of the evil we must now wait for favorable conditions, for the
gradual healing powers of natural forces that are effective also in
economic life, but above all, for a careful treatment of domestic
currency markets. That is to say, we must avoid those blunders that
caused the evil.
It would be a
mistake to suppose that in his monetary writings Carl Menger developed
a consistent theory of money and credit. That was not his intention;
his primary concern was economic justice and social division of labor,
which are basic to economic productivity and individual well-being. He
was greatly concerned about the preservation of that polyglot state of
the Hapsburgs, Austria-Hungary, which was uniting
many peoples speaking different languages and leading them to live
together harmoniously in one state. But to most of his countrymen the
union was unwanted. They preferred national favors and privileges over
peaceful cooperation, government authority over individual freedom,
inflation and credit expansion over gold, and sound money. Their hopes
and aspirations were to come to pass with the dissolution of the empire
just twenty-five years later.
Carl Menger did not complete the splendid work he had begun in his
youth. His great mind, which had found its own road and carried its own
lamp, clearly recognized the destiny of mankind. He saw the inflations
that were to ravish income and wealth, and the twentieth century wars
in which human folly and tragedy were to reach their climax. Soon after
the publication of his essays on money Carl Menger fell silent, perhaps
despairing about the future of his beloved country and the fate of
mankind.
Carl Menger, The
Collected Works of Carl Menger (London: London School of Economics
and Political Science, 1936), vol. 4, pp. 1–116.
“The Purchasing Power
of the Austrian Guilder,” 1889, in Collected Works, vol. 4, p.
121.
“Contributions to the
Currency Issue,” in Collected Works, pp.
138–41.
F. von Wieser, “Der
Geldwert und seine geschichtliche Veranderungen,” in Zeitschrift
fur Volkswirtschaft, Sozialpolitik und Verwaltung 13 (1904).
Ludwig von Mises, The
Theory of Money and Credit (New Haven, Conn.:
Ibid., p. 310. On July
14, 1890, the Sherman Act, passing both houses of the U.S. Congress,
provided that the U.S. Treasury purchase 4.5 million ounces of silver
monthly, against which legal tender notes, redeemable in gold or silver
coins at the discretion of the Treasury, would be issued.